Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.180969 0.202431 0.224751 0.249640 0.276564 0.304755 0.336449
2025-01-19 0.150260 0.179160 0.210622 0.247231 0.288470 0.333302 0.385531
2025-01-26 0.130365 0.164344 0.202817 0.249210 0.303232 0.363748 0.436246
2025-02-02 0.117671 0.155864 0.200626 0.256280 0.322915 0.399429 0.493191
2025-02-09 0.104303 0.144922 0.194119 0.257064 0.334381 0.425172 0.538695
2025-02-16 0.094986 0.137870 0.191379 0.261601 0.349806 0.455394 0.589704
2025-02-23 0.088564 0.133764 0.191693 0.269448 0.369036 0.490249 0.646708
2025-03-02 0.079073 0.124634 0.184710 0.267266 0.375151 0.508705 0.683656
2025-03-09 0.071757 0.117757 0.180047 0.267518 0.383936 0.530260 0.724477
2025-03-16 0.064770 0.110681 0.174513 0.266069 0.390094 0.548262 0.760831
2025-03-23 0.060814 0.107635 0.174228 0.271476 0.405174 0.577750 0.812077
2025-03-30 0.055701 0.102387 0.170417 0.271663 0.413021 0.597777 0.851297
2025-04-06 0.050791 0.097188 0.166540 0.271798 0.421101 0.618730 0.892812
2025-04-13 0.045913 0.091592 0.161678 0.270185 0.426551 0.636148 0.929885
2025-04-20 0.042579 0.088214 0.159898 0.272847 0.437890 0.661549 0.977838
2025-04-27 0.040760 0.087224 0.161676 0.280732 0.456715 0.697360 1.040202
2025-05-04 0.037580 0.083572 0.159017 0.281750 0.465598 0.719608 1.084558
2025-05-11 0.035498 0.081681 0.159016 0.286715 0.480204 0.749904 1.140189
2025-05-18 0.034263 0.081226 0.161284 0.295182 0.500051 0.787757 1.206622
2025-05-25 0.031117 0.076879 0.156824 0.292877 0.503791 0.802962 1.242038
2025-06-01 0.028704 0.073705 0.154123 0.293167 0.511290 0.823476 1.284960
2025-06-08 0.026198 0.070091 0.150421 0.291623 0.515863 0.839769 1.322103
2025-06-15 0.025030 0.069106 0.151243 0.297424 0.531695 0.872405 1.382511